Feasibility Study Data for the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area
What SBA's own loan files show about lending in the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area, every asset class together, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
San Francisco in the SBA loan record
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA is a metropolitan area, and its 8,553 SBA approvals in FY2017 to FY2026 carried $5.77 billion in gross dollars. San Francisco counts as one of the busiest, ranked 17 of 928 by loans. In San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, every asset class is pooled for San Francisco. That view of San Francisco is missing from CA and national tables.
San Francisco: half of loans run $116,000 to $850,000, around a median of $350,000. San Francisco sits well above the national level: its 1.68x ratio to the national median means San Francisco requests sized nationally may look small. San Francisco: 7(a) leads the mix, with 7,081 7(a) loans against 1,472 under 504. San Francisco franchised businesses took 9.0% of loans, so a branded concept in San Francisco needs a brand-cost check in San Francisco.
San Francisco: classes, places and lenders
San Francisco class counts run full-service restaurant at 574, limited-service restaurant at 324, dental office at 184, child care center at 177. Another 5,852 San Francisco loans sit in no tracked class, so San Francisco totals describe operating businesses, not only property. San Francisco's busiest counties are Alameda County, CA with 3,140, Contra Costa County, CA with 1,987, and San Francisco County, CA with 1,690, so a San Francisco project's boundary matters when San Francisco borrowers cite area-wide figures. San Francisco 7(a) lending is led by 883 loans at U.S. Bank, National Association ($377.4 million); 746 loans at Wells Fargo Bank National Association ($269.5 million); 355 loans at JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association ($85.4 million). San Francisco 504 record, longest first: The Mortgage Capital Development Corporation with 646 loans, $760.0 million; Capital Access Group, Inc. with 303 loans, $333.1 million; Bay Area Employment Development Company with 276 loans, $284.5 million. San Francisco lender figures, U.S. Bank, National Association's 883 loans included, are an SBA record of San Francisco loans held or once held; no San Francisco lender is judged by them.
San Francisco, between FY2017 (1,001 loans) and FY2026 (819), peaked at 1,179 in FY2025 and bottomed at 683 in FY2020. A San Francisco borrower should know the cancellation record: 11.6% as a floor and 12.8% as a ceiling, for FY2017 to FY2024 San Francisco approvals. Of 3,635 San Francisco loans disbursed in FY2017 to FY2021, 5.6% are charged off, a floor. Early San Francisco charge-offs, those within five years, reach 3.0%. San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA membership follows the July 2023 delineation; San Francisco counties are matched by name, and a San Francisco loan with no match is dropped, so 8,553 is a floor, and every San Francisco rate is too.
San Francisco: what a study has to test
Any San Francisco study defines its San Francisco trade area first, since lending in Alameda County, CA differs from lending across San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA. In San Francisco, a full-service restaurant project has deep precedent; other San Francisco concepts must bring their own evidence of San Francisco demand. The San Francisco cost section uses local quotes; run San Francisco debt service coverage for loans near $350,000 and near $850,000. San Francisco is metropolitan, so submarkets differ, and a San Francisco appraisal should use the site's own San Francisco submarket comparables. The San Francisco record frames questions, and each lender in San Francisco decides on its own.
SBA loans in the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 8,553 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $5.77 billion |
| Median loan | $350,000 |
| Middle half of loans, from | $116,000 |
| Middle half of loans, to | $850,000 |
| SBA 7(a) loans | 7,081 |
| SBA 504 loans | 1,472 |
| Franchise share of loans | 9.0% |
| Rank among metro and micro areas by loans | 17 of 928 |
| Median loan against the national median | 1.68x |
Cancellation and charge-off
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | 11.6% |
|---|---|
| The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling) | 12.8% |
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | 5.6% |
| Charged off within five years of approval | 3.0% |
| Loans in that cohort | 3,635 |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA loans approved in the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 1,001 | $573.4 million |
| FY2018 | 910 | $567.9 million |
| FY2019 | 794 | $486.3 million |
| FY2020 | 683 | $503.3 million |
| FY2021 | 744 | $758.1 million |
| FY2022 | 699 | $574.0 million |
| FY2023 | 732 | $512.4 million |
| FY2024 | 992 | $544.9 million |
| FY2025 | 1,179 | $665.4 million |
| FY2026 | 819 | $583.1 million |
Loans by asset class
| Asset class | Loans |
|---|---|
| Not in any of the 39 asset classes | 5,852 |
| Full-service restaurant | 574 |
| Limited-service restaurant | 324 |
| Dental office | 184 |
| Child care center | 177 |
| Fitness center | 174 |
| Grocery store | 149 |
| Coffee shop and snack bar | 143 |
| Automotive mechanical repair (car and truck) | 142 |
| Liquor store | 120 |
| Beauty salon | 99 |
| Medical office (physicians) | 96 |
| Assisted living (without nursing care) | 85 |
| Gas station and truck stop | 77 |
| Beverage manufacturing (breweries, wineries, distilleries) | 47 |
| Hotel and motel | 46 |
| Veterinary clinic | 42 |
| Caterers (includes banquet halls with catering staff) | 38 |
| Rehabilitation and therapy clinic | 35 |
| Car wash | 24 |
| Nonresidential lessor (flex, office and retail investor buildings) | 24 |
| School (elementary and secondary, including charter) | 24 |
| Data center | 15 |
| Skilled nursing | 10 |
| Self storage | 9 |
| Warehouse and distribution | 9 |
| Life science lab (research and development) | 9 |
| Behavioral health and addiction treatment | 5 |
Classes with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are withheld, and more where a small one could be derived.
Most active SBA lenders
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| The Mortgage Capital Development Corporation | 646 | $760.0 million |
| Capital Access Group, Inc. | 303 | $333.1 million |
| Bay Area Employment Development Company | 276 | $284.5 million |
| Business Finance Capital | 121 | $144.0 million |
| CDC Small Business Finance Corp. | 37 | $39.9 million |
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| U.S. Bank, National Association | 883 | $377.4 million |
| Wells Fargo Bank National Association | 746 | $269.5 million |
| JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association | 355 | $85.4 million |
| Northeast Bank (ME) | 287 | $47.4 million |
| BayFirst National Bank | 266 | $49.4 million |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
Where the loans are, by county
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| Alameda County, CA | 3,140 |
| Contra Costa County, CA | 1,987 |
| San Francisco County, CA | 1,690 |
| San Mateo County, CA | 1,171 |
| Marin County, CA | 565 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
All assets: every 7(a) and 504 approval in the metro, including those outside the 39 asset classes.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MT-41860.
Related feasibility study pages
- California feasibility study consultant
- Feasibility Study Data by Metro Area
- SBA feasibility study consultant
- Feasibility Study Data for the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA Metro Area
- Feasibility Study Data for the Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA Metro Area
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Feasibility study data by asset class in the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area
- Full-service restaurant
- Limited-service restaurant
- Dental office
- Child care center
- Fitness center
- Grocery store
- Coffee shop and snack bar
- Automotive mechanical repair (car and truck)
- Liquor store
- Beauty salon
- Medical office (physicians)
- Assisted living (without nursing care)
- Gas station and truck stop
- Beverage manufacturing (breweries, wineries, distilleries)
- Hotel and motel
- Veterinary clinic
- Rehabilitation and therapy clinic
Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a commercial project in the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.
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