Feasibility Study Data for the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area

What SBA's own loan files show about lending in the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area, every asset class together, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.

San Francisco in the SBA loan record

San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA is a metropolitan area, and its 8,553 SBA approvals in FY2017 to FY2026 carried $5.77 billion in gross dollars. San Francisco counts as one of the busiest, ranked 17 of 928 by loans. In San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, every asset class is pooled for San Francisco. That view of San Francisco is missing from CA and national tables.

San Francisco: half of loans run $116,000 to $850,000, around a median of $350,000. San Francisco sits well above the national level: its 1.68x ratio to the national median means San Francisco requests sized nationally may look small. San Francisco: 7(a) leads the mix, with 7,081 7(a) loans against 1,472 under 504. San Francisco franchised businesses took 9.0% of loans, so a branded concept in San Francisco needs a brand-cost check in San Francisco.

San Francisco: classes, places and lenders

San Francisco class counts run full-service restaurant at 574, limited-service restaurant at 324, dental office at 184, child care center at 177. Another 5,852 San Francisco loans sit in no tracked class, so San Francisco totals describe operating businesses, not only property. San Francisco's busiest counties are Alameda County, CA with 3,140, Contra Costa County, CA with 1,987, and San Francisco County, CA with 1,690, so a San Francisco project's boundary matters when San Francisco borrowers cite area-wide figures. San Francisco 7(a) lending is led by 883 loans at U.S. Bank, National Association ($377.4 million); 746 loans at Wells Fargo Bank National Association ($269.5 million); 355 loans at JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association ($85.4 million). San Francisco 504 record, longest first: The Mortgage Capital Development Corporation with 646 loans, $760.0 million; Capital Access Group, Inc. with 303 loans, $333.1 million; Bay Area Employment Development Company with 276 loans, $284.5 million. San Francisco lender figures, U.S. Bank, National Association's 883 loans included, are an SBA record of San Francisco loans held or once held; no San Francisco lender is judged by them.

San Francisco, between FY2017 (1,001 loans) and FY2026 (819), peaked at 1,179 in FY2025 and bottomed at 683 in FY2020. A San Francisco borrower should know the cancellation record: 11.6% as a floor and 12.8% as a ceiling, for FY2017 to FY2024 San Francisco approvals. Of 3,635 San Francisco loans disbursed in FY2017 to FY2021, 5.6% are charged off, a floor. Early San Francisco charge-offs, those within five years, reach 3.0%. San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA membership follows the July 2023 delineation; San Francisco counties are matched by name, and a San Francisco loan with no match is dropped, so 8,553 is a floor, and every San Francisco rate is too.

San Francisco: what a study has to test

Any San Francisco study defines its San Francisco trade area first, since lending in Alameda County, CA differs from lending across San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA. In San Francisco, a full-service restaurant project has deep precedent; other San Francisco concepts must bring their own evidence of San Francisco demand. The San Francisco cost section uses local quotes; run San Francisco debt service coverage for loans near $350,000 and near $850,000. San Francisco is metropolitan, so submarkets differ, and a San Francisco appraisal should use the site's own San Francisco submarket comparables. The San Francisco record frames questions, and each lender in San Francisco decides on its own.

SBA loans in the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area

Loans approved, FY2017 to FY20268,553
Gross dollars approved$5.77 billion
Median loan$350,000
Middle half of loans, from$116,000
Middle half of loans, to$850,000
SBA 7(a) loans7,081
SBA 504 loans1,472
Franchise share of loans9.0%
Rank among metro and micro areas by loans17 of 928
Median loan against the national median1.68x

Cancellation and charge-off

Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor)11.6%
The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling)12.8%
Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor)5.6%
Charged off within five years of approval3.0%
Loans in that cohort3,635

Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.

SBA loans approved in the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area, by fiscal year

025050075010001250FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Loans, FY2017: 1001Loans, FY2018: 910Loans, FY2019: 794Loans, FY2020: 683Loans, FY2021: 744Loans, FY2022: 699Loans, FY2023: 732Loans, FY2024: 992Loans, FY2025: 1179Loans, FY2026: 819
Fiscal yearLoansDollars
FY20171,001$573.4 million
FY2018910$567.9 million
FY2019794$486.3 million
FY2020683$503.3 million
FY2021744$758.1 million
FY2022699$574.0 million
FY2023732$512.4 million
FY2024992$544.9 million
FY20251,179$665.4 million
FY2026819$583.1 million

Loans by asset class

Asset classLoans
Not in any of the 39 asset classes5,852
Full-service restaurant574
Limited-service restaurant324
Dental office184
Child care center177
Fitness center174
Grocery store149
Coffee shop and snack bar143
Automotive mechanical repair (car and truck)142
Liquor store120
Beauty salon99
Medical office (physicians)96
Assisted living (without nursing care)85
Gas station and truck stop77
Beverage manufacturing (breweries, wineries, distilleries)47
Hotel and motel46
Veterinary clinic42
Caterers (includes banquet halls with catering staff)38
Rehabilitation and therapy clinic35
Car wash24
Nonresidential lessor (flex, office and retail investor buildings)24
School (elementary and secondary, including charter)24
Data center15
Skilled nursing10
Self storage9
Warehouse and distribution9
Life science lab (research and development)9
Behavioral health and addiction treatment5

Classes with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are withheld, and more where a small one could be derived.

Most active SBA lenders

SBA 504: lenders by loans approved (the current holder of each loan, as SBA reports it)
LenderLoansDollars
The Mortgage Capital Development Corporation646$760.0 million
Capital Access Group, Inc.303$333.1 million
Bay Area Employment Development Company276$284.5 million
Business Finance Capital121$144.0 million
CDC Small Business Finance Corp.37$39.9 million
SBA 7(a): lenders by loans approved (the current holder of each loan, as SBA reports it)
LenderLoansDollars
U.S. Bank, National Association883$377.4 million
Wells Fargo Bank National Association746$269.5 million
JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association355$85.4 million
Northeast Bank (ME)287$47.4 million
BayFirst National Bank266$49.4 million

Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.

Where the loans are, by county

CountyLoans
Alameda County, CA3,140
Contra Costa County, CA1,987
San Francisco County, CA1,690
San Mateo County, CA1,171
Marin County, CA565

Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.

Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.

All assets: every 7(a) and 504 approval in the metro, including those outside the 39 asset classes.

A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.

Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MT-41860.

Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a commercial project in the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.

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