Worked Example: SBA 7(a) Flex-Serve Car Wash Feasibility Study in Texas
A worked example of the feasibility study a lender would read for a car wash project in Texas, financed with an SBA 7(a) loan.
What SBA's own loan files show about lending in the Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX Metro Area, every asset class together, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
The Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands metro area is one of the heaviest SBA markets in the country. Across FY2017 to FY2026 the record holds 12,976 approved loans and $9.73 billion in gross dollars, a rank of 8 of 928 on loan count. Nearly all of that volume is 7(a), with 12,288 loans against 688 under 504. Loan size stands out: $310,600 at the median, 1.49x what the national median shows, while half of all loans land between $115,750 and $860,000. Franchises account for 21.4% of loans, so branded operators are a visible part of what gets financed here.
Restaurants lead the named classes: full-service restaurant with 466 loans, limited-service restaurant with 452, child care center with 419, fitness center with 371 and hotel and motel with 324. Yet 8,652 loans fall outside every named class, which makes general business credit the real bulk of the record. Harris County carries 8,352 loans, Fort Bend County 1,794 and Montgomery County 1,395, so a project's county matters a great deal inside this one area. Annual volume fell from 1,498 loans in FY2017 to a low of 917 in FY2020, then climbed to a high of 1,786 in FY2025 before easing to 1,304 in FY2026, when dollars stood at $1.12 billion.
For 7(a), SBA's records list Wells Fargo Bank National Association with 959 loans and $248.9 million, The Huntington National Bank with 906 loans and $579.1 million, with JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association third at 746 loans and $230.2 million. Among 504 lenders, Capital Certified Development Corporation is first at 220 loans and $393.4 million, and North Texas Certified Development Corporation second at 137 loans and $179.4 million. Each name appears because SBA's files tie it to loans it holds or held in the Houston area. That is a count of volume. It is no verdict on any lender's habits, and no borrower should read it as a list of what a lender demands. What they do show is which institutions already carry a sizable local book, a useful fact when a study is being prepared for a lender to read.
Looking at approvals made between FY2017 and FY2024, cancellations ran to at least 11.1%, and to 12.2% if loans never disbursed are treated as cancelled. Charge-offs on the FY2017 to FY2021 funded cohort of 5,446 loans stand at 9.3% or more so far, and 5.9% happened within five years; loans that remain open could push each figure up. No figure for this area is flagged against the state or the nation, so the totals are description, not a signal. Membership in the area comes from the county where each project sits, placed in the July 2023 statistical-area list by name; any loan whose county will not place is excluded everywhere, while approvals outside the named classes still count in the totals. A feasibility study here has to fix the county first, then test demand for the specific business, build-out cost, debt service coverage on a conservative year, and an appraisal tied to local comparables. For restaurants, the lead class, that means sales per seat and occupancy cost. Each study carries the signature of Daniel Smith, MAI.
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 12,976 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $9.73 billion |
| Median loan | $310,600 |
| Middle half of loans, from | $115,750 |
| Middle half of loans, to | $860,000 |
| SBA 7(a) loans | 12,288 |
| SBA 504 loans | 688 |
| Franchise share of loans | 21.4% |
| Rank among metro and micro areas by loans | 8 of 928 |
| Median loan against the national median | 1.49x |
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | 11.1% |
|---|---|
| The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling) | 12.2% |
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | 9.3% |
| Charged off within five years of approval | 5.9% |
| Loans in that cohort | 5,446 |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA loans approved in the Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 1,498 | $838.1 million |
| FY2018 | 1,316 | $822.0 million |
| FY2019 | 1,164 | $819.2 million |
| FY2020 | 917 | $805.3 million |
| FY2021 | 1,246 | $1.29 billion |
| FY2022 | 1,053 | $880.0 million |
| FY2023 | 1,186 | $906.1 million |
| FY2024 | 1,506 | $1.04 billion |
| FY2025 | 1,786 | $1.21 billion |
| FY2026 | 1,304 | $1.12 billion |
Classes with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are withheld, and more where a small one could be derived.
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Capital Certified Development Corporation | 220 | $393.4 million |
| North Texas Certified Development Corporation | 137 | $179.4 million |
| LiftFund, Inc. | 104 | $126.0 million |
| Community Certified Development Corporation | 90 | $114.8 million |
| Greater East Texas Certified Development Company | 40 | $63.3 million |
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo Bank National Association | 959 | $248.9 million |
| The Huntington National Bank | 906 | $579.1 million |
| JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association | 746 | $230.2 million |
| Zions Bancorporation, National Association | 607 | $188.1 million |
| PNC Bank, National Association | 524 | $201.8 million |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| Harris County, TX | 8,352 |
| Fort Bend County, TX | 1,794 |
| Montgomery County, TX | 1,395 |
| Brazoria County, TX | 623 |
| Galveston County, TX | 489 |
| Waller County, TX | 109 |
| Chambers County, TX | 86 |
| Liberty County, TX | 78 |
| Austin County, TX | 42 |
| San Jacinto County, TX | 8 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
All assets: every 7(a) and 504 approval in the metro, including those outside the 39 asset classes.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MT-26420.
A worked example of the feasibility study a lender would read for a car wash project in Texas, financed with an SBA 7(a) loan.
Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a commercial project in the Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.
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