Worked Example: SBA 7(a) Flex-Serve Car Wash Feasibility Study in Texas
A worked example of the feasibility study a lender would read for a car wash project in Texas, financed with an SBA 7(a) loan.
What SBA's own loan files show about lending in the Waco, TX Metro Area, every asset class together, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
Waco is franchise-heavy: brands hold 31.0% of loans. SBA approved 377 loans there across FY2017 to FY2026, $294.3 million gross, rank 200 of 928, and 363 of them are 7(a) against only 14 under 504. Median loan in Waco: $309,000. Waco reads 1.49x against the national figure. Within Waco, half of loans are $100,000 to $890,000. Waco stands apart on charge-offs; Waco clears our distinctness margin. The charge-off floor on the funded cohort is high, as set out below.
Waco counts gas station and truck stop first at 37 loans, well clear of full-service restaurant at 20 and hotel and motel, fitness center and limited-service restaurant at 16 each; 217 loans sit outside the named classes. McLennan County has 344 loans, Bosque County 23 and Falls County 10. Count slipped from 37 loans and $19.8 million in FY2017 to a low of 25 loans and $18.4 million in FY2018, peaked at 45 loans and $48.1 million in FY2025 and ended at 33 loans and $50.9 million in FY2026, the largest dollar year of the span.
The First National Bank of McGregor d/b/a TFNB Your Bank for Life holds 80 loans and $20.0 million under 7(a), trailed by Wells Fargo Bank National Association (19 loans, $1.9 million) and, with 18 loans, $8.6 million, The Huntington National Bank. Capital Certified Development Corporation appears on 504 with 5 loans and $9.4 million. Waco lists rest on SBA's holder records. Waco names hold or held these loans. Waco counts are volume, and Waco counts promise no lender requirement.
Waco cancellations after approval reached at least 12.7%. Waco approvals span FY2017 to FY2024. Waco withholds its ceiling for loans never disbursed. Waco lacks loans to support it. In Waco, 155 funded loans show charge-offs. Waco floors them at 13.5% or more. Waco withholds the five-year rate. Too few Waco loans support it. Every Waco rate here is a floor, as open Waco loans may move it. Waco follows county placement. Waco matches each project's county by name. Waco then applies the July 2023 delineation. Waco leaves out loans with unplaceable counties, and Waco counts all approvals, named or not. A Waco study for a franchised or fuel-retail project should carry royalty cost, traffic counts, tank and environmental condition, and a value opinion that keeps the real estate apart from the operating business, with debt service run on a weak year. Daniel Smith, MAI, signs every Waco study. Loan Analytics prepares each Waco study.
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 377 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $294.3 million |
| Median loan | $309,000 |
| Middle half of loans, from | $100,000 |
| Middle half of loans, to | $890,000 |
| SBA 7(a) loans | 363 |
| SBA 504 loans | 14 |
| Franchise share of loans | 31.0% |
| Rank among metro and micro areas by loans | 200 of 928 |
| Median loan against the national median | 1.49x |
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | 12.7% |
|---|---|
| The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling) | withheld |
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | 13.5% |
| Charged off within five years of approval | withheld |
| Loans in that cohort | 155 |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA loans approved in the Waco, TX Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 37 | $19.8 million |
| FY2018 | 25 | $18.4 million |
| FY2019 | 43 | $24.9 million |
| FY2020 | 34 | $32.3 million |
| FY2021 | 42 | $20.5 million |
| FY2022 | 34 | $22.1 million |
| FY2023 | 43 | $35.0 million |
| FY2024 | 41 | $22.3 million |
| FY2025 | 45 | $48.1 million |
| FY2026 | 33 | $50.9 million |
| Asset class | Loans |
|---|---|
| Not in any of the 39 asset classes | 217 |
| Gas station and truck stop | 37 |
| Full-service restaurant | 20 |
| Hotel and motel | 16 |
| Fitness center | 16 |
| Limited-service restaurant | 16 |
| Coffee shop and snack bar | 11 |
| Grocery store | 10 |
| Beauty salon | 7 |
Classes with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are withheld, and more where a small one could be derived.
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Capital Certified Development Corporation | 5 | $9.4 million |
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| The First National Bank of McGregor d/b/a TFNB Your Bank for Life | 80 | $20.0 million |
| Wells Fargo Bank National Association | 19 | $1.9 million |
| The Huntington National Bank | 18 | $8.6 million |
| PNC Bank, National Association | 16 | $2.0 million |
| Live Oak Banking Company | 11 | $24.6 million |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| McLennan County, TX | 344 |
| Bosque County, TX | 23 |
| Falls County, TX | 10 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
All assets: every 7(a) and 504 approval in the metro, including those outside the 39 asset classes.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MT-47380.
A worked example of the feasibility study a lender would read for a car wash project in Texas, financed with an SBA 7(a) loan.
Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a commercial project in the Waco, TX Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.
Start with the data.
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