Feasibility Study Data for the Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY Metro Area

What SBA's own loan files show about lending in the Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY Metro Area, every asset class together, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.

Very small tickets in western New York

Buffalo-Cheektowaga is a market of very small loans. Across FY2017 to FY2026 SBA approved 2,383 loans there, $683.2 million gross, placing it 48 of 928. Buffalo-Cheektowaga's median loan is only $100,000, 0.48x the national figure, and its central band of loans runs $30,000 to $261,000. Of the total, 2,220 are 7(a) loans and 163 are 504. Franchises account for 7.2% of loans, so independent operators carry the record. Anyone sizing a project here against national averages will overshoot what local lending has typically looked like.

Named classes start with full-service restaurant at 165 loans, then limited-service restaurant at 105, liquor store at 56, fitness center at 53 and automotive mechanical repair at 47; 1,658 loans fall outside the named classes. Erie County holds 2,048 loans and Niagara County 335, so Buffalo-Cheektowaga is essentially one large county and a smaller neighbor. Volume began at 303 loans and $67.5 million in FY2017, bottomed at 164 loans and $44.2 million in FY2020, and peaked at 351 loans and $106.0 million in FY2025, before 207 loans and $70.5 million in FY2026.

Who holds the loans

Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company dominates 7(a) with 1,007 loans and $146.5 million, followed by KeyBank National Association at 282 loans and $83.8 million and NBT Bank, National Association at 169 loans and $40.0 million. The page lists no 504 lender for Buffalo-Cheektowaga. Those counts come from SBA's records of loans each bank holds or held; they say nothing about any bank's practices, and no lender requirement can be read from them. A Buffalo-Cheektowaga borrower is best served by treating them as evidence of where small loans have gone.

Floors and what a study here has to test

Buffalo-Cheektowaga cancelled 11.7% of approvals at minimum, FY2017 to FY2024 taken together, or 13.3% if undisbursed loans are included. Among its 999 funded loans of FY2017 to FY2021, charge-offs reach at least 4.6%, and 2.3% occurred within five years; open loans may raise both. Buffalo-Cheektowaga draws its boundary by running every loan's county through the July 2023 delineation, and loans in unplaceable counties are dropped. Because tickets are small, a study should not inflate cost or revenue beyond what a typical local project supports; it should test demand, build-out, coverage on a weaker year and local comparables for the appraisal. Restaurants and liquor stores each have their own checks, from sales per seat to licence transfer. Daniel Smith, MAI, signs the studies.

SBA loans in the Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY Metro Area

Loans approved, FY2017 to FY20262,383
Gross dollars approved$683.2 million
Median loan$100,000
Middle half of loans, from$30,000
Middle half of loans, to$261,000
SBA 7(a) loans2,220
SBA 504 loans163
Franchise share of loans7.2%
Rank among metro and micro areas by loans48 of 928
Median loan against the national median0.48x

Cancellation and charge-off

Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor)11.7%
The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling)13.3%
Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor)4.6%
Charged off within five years of approval2.3%
Loans in that cohort999

Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.

SBA loans approved in the Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY Metro Area, by fiscal year

0100200300400FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Loans, FY2017: 303Loans, FY2018: 258Loans, FY2019: 225Loans, FY2020: 164Loans, FY2021: 189Loans, FY2022: 210Loans, FY2023: 227Loans, FY2024: 249Loans, FY2025: 351Loans, FY2026: 207
Fiscal yearLoansDollars
FY2017303$67.5 million
FY2018258$54.9 million
FY2019225$60.8 million
FY2020164$44.2 million
FY2021189$81.9 million
FY2022210$78.3 million
FY2023227$63.1 million
FY2024249$56.0 million
FY2025351$106.0 million
FY2026207$70.5 million

Loans by asset class

Asset classLoans
Not in any of the 39 asset classes1,658
Full-service restaurant165
Limited-service restaurant105
Liquor store56
Fitness center53
Automotive mechanical repair (car and truck)47
Beauty salon47
Coffee shop and snack bar28
Dental office27
Medical office (physicians)26
Hotel and motel25
Child care center25
Rehabilitation and therapy clinic23
Grocery store20
Beverage manufacturing (breweries, wineries, distilleries)18
Gas station and truck stop13
Car wash11
Veterinary clinic10
Caterers (includes banquet halls with catering staff)7
Nonresidential lessor (flex, office and retail investor buildings)5

Classes with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are withheld, and more where a small one could be derived.

Most active SBA lenders

SBA 7(a): lenders by loans approved (the current holder of each loan, as SBA reports it)
LenderLoansDollars
Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company1,007$146.5 million
KeyBank National Association282$83.8 million
NBT Bank, National Association169$40.0 million
Northwest Bank (PA)124$22.9 million
Five Star Bank (NY)103$18.9 million

Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.

Where the loans are, by county

CountyLoans
Erie County, NY2,048
Niagara County, NY335

Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.

Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.

All assets: every 7(a) and 504 approval in the metro, including those outside the 39 asset classes.

A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.

Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MT-15380.

Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a commercial project in the Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.

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