Feasibility Study Data for the Rochester, NY Metro Area

What SBA's own loan files show about lending in the Rochester, NY Metro Area, every asset class together, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.

Rochester scale: counts, dollars and typical loans in Rochester, NY

Project sites in Rochester drew 3,010 SBA approvals for Rochester projects over FY2017 to FY2026, worth $735.4 million in gross dollars. Rochester holds rank 42 of 928 against every other statistical area, Rochester among them. Loan size centers on $75,000, and the central half fall from $25,225 up to $225,000. On loan size the picture is clear: at 0.36x of the national median. Smaller loans are the first thing that sets Rochester apart.

Rochester: which programs and lenders serve Rochester, NY

The program split in Rochester is 2,826 under 7(a) and 184 under 504. Rochester is a 7(a) market first. The franchise share of Rochester loans is 5.6%. ESL FCU tops the 7(a) table at 727 loans and $76.1 million. 686 loans and $99.7 million belong to Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company, in second place. Also in the 7(a) table: Five Star Bank (NY) at 273 loans; Genesee Regional Bank has 267. The 504 table is headed by Empire State Certified Development Corporation, at 109 loans and $71.2 million. Monroe County Industrial Development Corporation trails with 67. SBA's holder records are the only source for these lender rows. The line for ESL FCU appears as the holder SBA reports; that says nothing about how Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company underwrites.

Rochester: class and county mix across Rochester, NY

The larger share of the Rochester record falls outside the class table: 2,238 loans that carry codes outside the table. In Rochester, the class lines therefore describe a minority of Rochester lending. The Rochester class table opens with full-service restaurant, 153 loans, then limited-service restaurant with 89 and beauty salon with 60. Further down sit automotive mechanical repair (car and truck), 58 loans and fitness center at 47. Monroe County, NY is the largest source of loans, with 2,172, followed by Ontario County, NY with 327, with Wayne County, NY third at 202. Demand differs between these counties, so the Rochester figure hides some spread.

Rochester: outcome rates, trend and data limits in Rochester, NY

Of FY2017 to FY2024 approvals in Rochester, no fewer than 10.6% were cancelled before the loan closed out, and up to 13.2% if undisbursed loans are added to the cancelled. 4.7% of the 1,440 loans disbursed in FY2017 to FY2021 are known charge-offs, and the share is a floor, and 2.4% were charged off within five years of credit approval. Loans keep aging, so these rates are floors that can climb and cannot fall. Volume crested in FY2018, at 454 loans and $84.9 million. FY2023, with 215 loans and $71.8 million, was the weakest year before FY2026. Monroe County, NY and Ontario County, NY count here because each loan is placed by its project county, county membership follows the 2023 Rochester delineation, so a loan from an unmatched Rochester county appears nowhere.

Rochester: testing a project in Rochester, NY

In Rochester, a study should be built for the particular county, because the metro area total blends different markets. Full-service restaurant is the lead class in Rochester, so it has to examine the lunch and dinner balance and liquor licence timing and cost, then how Rochester diners split by daypart. A Rochester request in limited-service restaurant the questions are build-out cost for a small box and how a brand holds up in Rochester. A Rochester operator's coverage should be run against a downturn; comparable sales near the site must support the value. With smaller tickets the norm in Rochester, a request above the middle half must be defended with project facts.

SBA loans in the Rochester, NY Metro Area

Loans approved, FY2017 to FY20263,010
Gross dollars approved$735.4 million
Median loan$75,000
Middle half of loans, from$25,225
Middle half of loans, to$225,000
SBA 7(a) loans2,826
SBA 504 loans184
Franchise share of loans5.6%
Rank among metro and micro areas by loans42 of 928
Median loan against the national median0.36x

Cancellation and charge-off

Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor)10.6%
The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling)13.2%
Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor)4.7%
Charged off within five years of approval2.4%
Loans in that cohort1,440

Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.

SBA loans approved in the Rochester, NY Metro Area, by fiscal year

0100200300400500FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Loans, FY2017: 450Loans, FY2018: 454Loans, FY2019: 270Loans, FY2020: 237Loans, FY2021: 222Loans, FY2022: 242Loans, FY2023: 215Loans, FY2024: 308Loans, FY2025: 355Loans, FY2026: 257
Fiscal yearLoansDollars
FY2017450$63.4 million
FY2018454$84.9 million
FY2019270$73.9 million
FY2020237$83.3 million
FY2021222$74.8 million
FY2022242$71.0 million
FY2023215$71.8 million
FY2024308$75.8 million
FY2025355$76.4 million
FY2026257$60.1 million

Loans by asset class

Asset classLoans
Not in any of the 39 asset classes2,238
Full-service restaurant153
Limited-service restaurant89
Beauty salon60
Automotive mechanical repair (car and truck)58
Fitness center47
Beverage manufacturing (breweries, wineries, distilleries)45
Child care center44
Liquor store42
Dental office37
Hotel and motel22
Veterinary clinic22
Grocery store21
Coffee shop and snack bar18
Rehabilitation and therapy clinic15
RV park and campground13
Self storage13
Gas station and truck stop10
Caterers (includes banquet halls with catering staff)9
Medical office (physicians)9
Nonresidential lessor (flex, office and retail investor buildings)8
Data center8
Car wash5

Classes with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are withheld, and more where a small one could be derived.

Most active SBA lenders

SBA 504: lenders by loans approved (the current holder of each loan, as SBA reports it)
LenderLoansDollars
Empire State Certified Development Corporation109$71.2 million
Monroe County Industrial Development Corporation67$42.1 million
SBA 7(a): lenders by loans approved (the current holder of each loan, as SBA reports it)
LenderLoansDollars
ESL FCU727$76.1 million
Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company686$99.7 million
Five Star Bank (NY)273$26.5 million
Genesee Regional Bank267$101.6 million
The Canandaigua National Bank and Trust Company167$42.4 million

Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.

Where the loans are, by county

CountyLoans
Monroe County, NY2,172
Ontario County, NY327
Wayne County, NY202
Livingston County, NY197
Orleans County, NY112

Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.

Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.

All assets: every 7(a) and 504 approval in the metro, including those outside the 39 asset classes.

A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.

Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MT-40380.

Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a commercial project in the Rochester, NY Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.

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