Worked Example: Conventional Bank Gas Station Feasibility Study in Missouri
A worked example of the feasibility study a lender would read for a gas station project in Missouri, financed with a conventional bank loan.
What SBA's own loan files show about lending in the St. Louis, MO-IL Metro Area, every asset class together, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
St. Louis, MO-IL logged 4,471 SBA approvals in FY2017 to FY2026, worth $2.55 billion in gross dollars. St. Louis is an upper-tier area: 33 of 928 by loans. St. Louis, with every class pooled, is read in St. Louis, MO-IL. No IL and MO state page offers that view of St. Louis.
$250,000 is the St. Louis median loan, and the middle half runs $98,900 to $605,350. St. Louis sits above the national level, at 1.20x the national median, so a St. Louis study should size its request from St. Louis approvals. In St. Louis, MO-IL the 7(a) count is 3,909 and the 504 count is 562, which puts 7(a) ahead in St. Louis. 14.5% of St. Louis loans went to franchised businesses, so a St. Louis study names the brand, if any, for St. Louis.
St. Louis's tracked classes with the most loans: full-service restaurant with 204; limited-service restaurant with 165; fitness center with 120; child care center with 97. 3,281 St. Louis loans sit outside the tracked classes, so St. Louis operating businesses show up in these totals. St. Louis lending concentrates by county: St. Louis County, MO (1,787 loans), St. Charles County, MO (772 loans), and St. Louis city, MO (512 loans). St. Louis 7(a) record, longest first: U.S. Bank, National Association with 547 loans, $73.7 million; Midwest Regional Bank with 234 loans, $182.1 million; The Huntington National Bank with 130 loans, $54.6 million. St. Louis 504 list: St. Charles County Economic Development Council ($189.5 million, 244 loans); Small Business Growth Corporation ($123.9 million, 124 loans); Rural Missouri, Inc. ($79.4 million, 77 loans). St. Louis lender figures, U.S. Bank, National Association's 547 loans included, are an SBA record of St. Louis loans held or once held; no St. Louis lender is judged by them.
St. Louis ended FY2026 at 349 loans, lower than FY2017's 528; the peak came in FY2025 (546 loans, $343.2 million) and the low in FY2026 (349). A St. Louis borrower should know the cancellation record: 13.8% as a floor and 15.0% as a ceiling, for FY2017 to FY2024 St. Louis approvals. The St. Louis charge-off floor reaches 5.7% across a cohort of 1,926 loans disbursed between FY2017 and FY2021. 3.3% of the St. Louis cohort was charged off in five years. St. Louis, MO-IL membership follows the July 2023 delineation; St. Louis counties are matched by name, and a St. Louis loan with no match is dropped, so 4,471 is a floor, and every St. Louis rate is too.
A St. Louis feasibility study begins with St. Louis demand from the right counties: St. Louis County, MO leads the loan counts, though St. Louis is wider. Full-service restaurant projects have the most local record in St. Louis, and other St. Louis concepts cannot borrow credibility from these St. Louis counts. Test St. Louis coverage of debt service on a $250,000 loan, and on a $605,350 loan, after pricing St. Louis costs from bids. St. Louis, MO-IL spans IL and MO, so a St. Louis study weighs licensing and incentives in IL and MO separately, and a St. Louis appraisal needs St. Louis comparables from the right side of St. Louis, MO-IL. St. Louis appraisals compare within one submarket of St. Louis, MO-IL, not across averages. Nothing printed for St. Louis predicts approval; each St. Louis lender still reviews a study.
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 4,471 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $2.55 billion |
| Median loan | $250,000 |
| Middle half of loans, from | $98,900 |
| Middle half of loans, to | $605,350 |
| SBA 7(a) loans | 3,909 |
| SBA 504 loans | 562 |
| Franchise share of loans | 14.5% |
| Rank among metro and micro areas by loans | 33 of 928 |
| Median loan against the national median | 1.20x |
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | 13.8% |
|---|---|
| The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling) | 15.0% |
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | 5.7% |
| Charged off within five years of approval | 3.3% |
| Loans in that cohort | 1,926 |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA loans approved in the St. Louis, MO-IL Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 528 | $241.9 million |
| FY2018 | 486 | $250.8 million |
| FY2019 | 390 | $211.2 million |
| FY2020 | 355 | $202.5 million |
| FY2021 | 502 | $323.8 million |
| FY2022 | 430 | $238.4 million |
| FY2023 | 418 | $239.0 million |
| FY2024 | 467 | $261.1 million |
| FY2025 | 546 | $343.2 million |
| FY2026 | 349 | $238.4 million |
| Asset class | Loans |
|---|---|
| Not in any of the 39 asset classes | 3,281 |
| Full-service restaurant | 204 |
| Limited-service restaurant | 165 |
| Fitness center | 120 |
| Child care center | 97 |
| Automotive mechanical repair (car and truck) | 69 |
| Coffee shop and snack bar | 65 |
| Beauty salon | 61 |
| Hotel and motel | 48 |
| Self storage | 38 |
| Dental office | 36 |
| Gas station and truck stop | 34 |
| Veterinary clinic | 30 |
| Medical office (physicians) | 30 |
| Beverage manufacturing (breweries, wineries, distilleries) | 27 |
| Caterers (includes banquet halls with catering staff) | 22 |
| Grocery store | 20 |
| Car wash | 19 |
| Nonresidential lessor (flex, office and retail investor buildings) | 19 |
| Liquor store | 16 |
| Rehabilitation and therapy clinic | 14 |
| Data center | 12 |
| Assisted living (without nursing care) | 9 |
| RV park and campground | 7 |
| Warehouse and distribution | 7 |
Classes with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are withheld, and more where a small one could be derived.
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| St. Charles County Economic Development Council | 244 | $189.5 million |
| Small Business Growth Corporation | 124 | $123.9 million |
| Rural Missouri, Inc. | 77 | $79.4 million |
| STL Partnership CDC | 57 | $42.0 million |
| St. Louis Local Development Company | 26 | $12.2 million |
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| U.S. Bank, National Association | 547 | $73.7 million |
| Midwest Regional Bank | 234 | $182.1 million |
| The Huntington National Bank | 130 | $54.6 million |
| American Bank of Freedom | 124 | $112.5 million |
| Busey Bank | 113 | $93.4 million |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| St. Louis County, MO | 1,787 |
| St. Charles County, MO | 772 |
| St. Louis city, MO | 512 |
| Madison County, IL | 345 |
| St. Clair County, IL | 323 |
| Jefferson County, MO | 220 |
| Franklin County, MO | 209 |
| Monroe County, IL | 81 |
| Lincoln County, MO | 59 |
| Warren County, MO | 54 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
All assets: every 7(a) and 504 approval in the metro, including those outside the 39 asset classes.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MT-41180.
A worked example of the feasibility study a lender would read for a gas station project in Missouri, financed with a conventional bank loan.
A worked example of the feasibility study a lender would read for a gas station project in Illinois, financed with an SBA 504 loan.
Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a commercial project in the St. Louis, MO-IL Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.
Start with the data.
Contact Us