Quick Service Restaurant Feasibility Study in the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Metro Area
What SBA's own loan files show about limited-service restaurant lending in the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Metro Area, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
Quick service along Tampa Bay
Franchises carry most of this cell. Of the 264 quick-service restaurant loans SBA approved around Tampa and St. Petersburg in FY2017 through FY2026, a franchise share of 65.2% carries the flag, and the gross total is $140.0 million. Locally the class is 2 of 39; nationally the area is 16 of 779. A location quotient of 1.12x says the class is a little heavier here than in the national book. Hillsborough County accounts for 117 loans and Pinellas County for 95.
A median of $350,000 sits at 1.13x the class median nationwide. The lower quartile sits at $250,000 and the upper quartile at $537,175, and a study should explain where a project falls relative to that band.
Program mix and holders
Loans split 234 under 7(a) and 30 under 504. Banks: The Huntington National Bank (34 loans, $8.8 million); Valley National Bank (21 loans, $13.2 million); Bank Five Nine (13 loans, $12.6 million); DFCU Financial (10 loans, $9.5 million); TD Bank, National Association ($1.0 million across 10 loans). Development companies on 504: Florida Business Development Corporation (14 loans, $15.0 million); Independent Development Services Corporation (6 loans, $8.9 million).
Treat the names as history. They show which institutions hold or held SBA-backed loans in the Tampa Bay area; they do not state any institution's current standards, and nothing in this record says a lender will say yes.
What happens after approval
Tampa cancellations total at least 15.7%; the version adding undisbursed loans is held back. Charge-offs have a floor of 7.5% on a cohort of 93 disbursed loans; the five-year figure is held back too, and no zero is implied. Franchised concepts bring brand-set costs, so the study has to test the franchise agreement's fees and royalties inside the debt service coverage ratio, the site's traffic count and drive-through potential, and the competing units within the trade area.
Placement matters for these totals. A study for a Hillsborough or Pinellas site should add its own traffic data, since SBA files hold none, and should model the franchisor's required remodel cycle inside the coverage ratio. Hillsborough and Pinellas counties carry the 264 quick-service loans, both present in the delineation OMB published in July 2023; a loan whose county failed to match is absent from all metros, so 264 is a floor.
SBA limited-service restaurant loans in the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Metro Area
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 264 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $140.0 million |
| Median loan | $350,000 |
| Middle half of loans, from | $250,000 |
| Middle half of loans, to | $537,175 |
| SBA 7(a) loans | 234 |
| SBA 504 loans | 30 |
| Franchise share of loans | 65.2% |
| Rank among metro and micro areas for limited-service restaurant loans | 16 of 779 |
| Rank of limited-service restaurant among the classes in this area | 2 of 39 |
| Location quotient (share of loans against the national share) | 1.12x |
| Median loan against the national median for the class | 1.13x |
Cancellation and charge-off
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | 15.7% |
|---|---|
| The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling) | withheld |
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | 7.5% |
| Charged off within five years of approval | withheld |
| Loans in that cohort | 93 |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA limited-service restaurant loans approved in the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 15 | $7.2 million |
| FY2018 | 25 | $11.8 million |
| FY2019 | 23 | $11.2 million |
| FY2020 | 16 | $5.2 million |
| FY2021 | 34 | $25.6 million |
| FY2022 | 38 | $20.3 million |
| FY2023 | 21 | $8.4 million |
| FY2024 | 26 | $16.1 million |
| FY2025 | 35 | $17.5 million |
| FY2026 | 31 | $16.7 million |
Most active SBA lenders
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Florida Business Development Corporation | 14 | $15.0 million |
| Independent Development Services Corporation | 6 | $8.9 million |
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| The Huntington National Bank | 34 | $8.8 million |
| Valley National Bank | 21 | $13.2 million |
| Bank Five Nine | 13 | $12.6 million |
| DFCU Financial | 10 | $9.5 million |
| TD Bank, National Association | 10 | $1.0 million |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
Where the loans are, by county
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| Hillsborough County, FL | 117 |
| Pinellas County, FL | 95 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MA-45300-C35.
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