Grocery Store Feasibility Study in the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN Metro Area
What SBA's own loan files show about grocery store lending in the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN Metro Area, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
Chicago: grocery store
Chicago approved grocery store loans: 142 in FY2017 to FY2026, worth $137.3 million. Chicago ranks 4 of 412 for the class on 142 loans among metro areas; in Chicago, the class ranks 13 of 39. Chicago's location quotient reads 1.09x on 142 loans: a somewhat heavier concentration. In Chicago, ranks and the 1.09x quotient, from 142 loans, distinguish the class; Chicago size is 1.38x the national median.
$484,900 marks the median of 142 loans, well above the national figure (1.38x), and $122,000 to $1.4 million bounds Chicago's middle half. Of 142 loans in Chicago, 121 used 7(a) and 21 used 504. 5.6% is the franchise share of 142 loans; the rest are independents.
Chicago's 7(a) table, 34 loans at The Huntington National Bank, $6.6 million; 29 at Byline Bank, $51.4 million; 6 at U.S. Bank, National Association, $2.9 million. Chicago's 504 table, 13 loans at Small Business Growth Corporation, $22.6 million. Chicago: holders under 5 loans go unnamed. Chicago county counts, 142 loans: Cook County, IL 99; Lake County, IL 14; DuPage County, IL 13; Will County, IL 8.
The Chicago loans' fate
14.0% at minimum: Chicago's cancelled share through FY2024. Chicago's ceiling for undisbursed loans: withheld. Chicago: 10.3% or more are charged off among 58 FY2017 to FY2021 loans. Chicago withholds its five-year measure, not zero. Chicago floors may rise with open loans. Chicago approvals ran from 13 loans and $11.6 million in FY2017 to 11 loans and $16.9 million in FY2026, peaking at 18 in FY2021 and dipping to 11 in FY2024. Chicago loans per year: FY2017 13, FY2018 12, FY2019 13, FY2020 14, FY2021 18, FY2022 18, FY2023 15, FY2024 11, FY2025 17, FY2026 11. Yearly dollars: FY2017 $11.6 million, FY2018 $9.7 million, FY2019 $13.0 million, FY2020 $10.2 million, FY2021 $19.9 million, FY2022 $19.5 million, FY2023 $10.8 million, FY2024 $12.9 million, FY2025 $12.8 million, FY2026 $16.9 million.
Chicago: the study's tests
For 142 loans in Chicago, refrigeration costs outside $122,000 to $1.4 million need cases. For 142 approvals in Chicago, appraisers split building from business. Chicago saw approvals run from 11 in FY2024 to 18 in FY2021; for Chicago, plan for supplier shocks. Chicago's quotient, 1.09x: count rivals by distance. Across 142 loans, weekly sales in Chicago carries $484,900. Chicago: facing thin margins, debt service holds with $137.3 million approved.
Chicago's 142 loans are placed by project county. Chicago follows the July 2023 delineation. Chicago drops unplaceable counties from $137.3 million. Treat 142 loans as a guide to Chicago, not a census.
SBA grocery store loans in the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN Metro Area
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 142 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $137.3 million |
| Median loan | $484,900 |
| Middle half of loans, from | $122,000 |
| Middle half of loans, to | $1.4 million |
| SBA 7(a) loans | 121 |
| SBA 504 loans | 21 |
| Franchise share of loans | 5.6% |
| Rank among metro and micro areas for grocery store loans | 4 of 412 |
| Rank of grocery store among the classes in this area | 13 of 39 |
| Location quotient (share of loans against the national share) | 1.09x |
| Median loan against the national median for the class | 1.38x |
Cancellation and charge-off
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | 14.0% |
|---|---|
| The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling) | withheld |
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | 10.3% |
| Charged off within five years of approval | withheld |
| Loans in that cohort | 58 |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA grocery store loans approved in the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 13 | $11.6 million |
| FY2018 | 12 | $9.7 million |
| FY2019 | 13 | $13.0 million |
| FY2020 | 14 | $10.2 million |
| FY2021 | 18 | $19.9 million |
| FY2022 | 18 | $19.5 million |
| FY2023 | 15 | $10.8 million |
| FY2024 | 11 | $12.9 million |
| FY2025 | 17 | $12.8 million |
| FY2026 | 11 | $16.9 million |
Most active SBA lenders
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Small Business Growth Corporation | 13 | $22.6 million |
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| The Huntington National Bank | 34 | $6.6 million |
| Byline Bank | 29 | $51.4 million |
| U.S. Bank, National Association | 6 | $2.9 million |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
Where the loans are, by county
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| Cook County, IL | 99 |
| Lake County, IL | 14 |
| DuPage County, IL | 13 |
| Will County, IL | 8 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MA-16980-C40.
Related feasibility study pages
- Grocery store feasibility study and SBA loan data
- Feasibility Study Data for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN Metro Area
- Grocery Store Feasibility Study in Illinois
- Grocery Store Feasibility Study in Indiana
- Illinois feasibility studies for SBA and USDA loans
- Feasibility study data and consultants for Indiana
- Feasibility Study Data by Metro Area
- Feasibility studies for SBA 7(a) and 504 loans
- Grocery Store Feasibility Study in the New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ Metro Area
- Grocery Store Feasibility Study in the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA Metro Area
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- Grocery Store Feasibility Study in the Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH Metro Area
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