Restaurant Feasibility Study in the Syracuse, NY Metro Area
What SBA's own loan files show about full-service restaurant lending in the Syracuse, NY Metro Area, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
Restaurant lending in Syracuse: where the area stands
With 75 SBA approvals worth $10.8 million between FY2017 and FY2026, Syracuse, NY stands 69 of 821 among metro and micro areas. Counting restaurant loans, Syracuse stands at 1.36x the national share: Syracuse favors the class heavily. Inside Syracuse, the class ranks 1 of 39, the leading class locally. Every project county in Syracuse lies in NY.
In Syracuse, the median loan is $78,000, with the middle half running from $30,000 to $206,000. The median is 0.28x the class median nationally, so Syracuse borrowers take smaller loans. Of Syracuse's loans, 67 are 7(a) and 8 are 504, shaping each request. The franchise share for Syracuse is held back on thin counts, so Syracuse says nothing about brands.
Where Syracuse restaurant loans sit, and with whom
On the 7(a) side in Syracuse, the largest holders listed are Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company, 23 loans for $1.5 million; KeyBank National Association, 16 loans for $1.8 million; Solvay Bank, 5 loans for $1.0 million; and NBT Bank, National Association, 5 loans for $966,300. The 504 table for Syracuse is empty. Syracuse rows are SBA records. The Syracuse lenders named hold or held them. Syracuse rows speak to files, not policy. No Syracuse row says what a lender requires. Syracuse place by place: Onondaga County, NY leads with 59 loans; next come Madison County, NY (8) and Oswego County, NY (8).
Year by year, Syracuse shows 13 loans and $1.6 million in FY2017, 11 loans and $1.0 million in FY2018, 6 loans and $1.2 million in FY2019, 10 loans and $1.5 million in FY2022, 6 loans and $812,000 in FY2023 and 8 loans and $1.2 million in FY2024. No figures print for FY2020, FY2021, FY2025 or FY2026 in Syracuse because few loans back those years, so a gap there is unpublished, nothing more. Among FY2017 to FY2024 approvals in Syracuse, at least 11.5% fell through after approval. The ceiling, with undisbursed loans counted, is 11.5%. The Syracuse charge-off floor is withheld. In Syracuse, a thin cohort means unpublished. Counts for Syracuse use the July 2023 delineation, where Syracuse loans are placed by county, and Syracuse omits unmatched counties.
What a Syracuse restaurant study must prove
From this restaurant record in Syracuse, NY, a study moves to a single parcel. Syracuse analysis should establish parking, visibility and walk-by traffic. In Syracuse, the study must show coverage through one weak quarter. Syracuse lenders need the study to show food and labor cost at lower volume. For Syracuse, we would first examine competing dining rooms by cuisine and price. The Syracuse file should document whether liquor sales are in the plan. Syracuse tests demand, cost, coverage and value. A Syracuse study guarantees nothing to lenders.
SBA full-service restaurant loans in the Syracuse, NY Metro Area
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 75 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $10.8 million |
| Median loan | $78,000 |
| Middle half of loans, from | $30,000 |
| Middle half of loans, to | $206,000 |
| SBA 7(a) loans | 67 |
| SBA 504 loans | 8 |
| Franchise share of loans | withheld |
| Rank among metro and micro areas for full-service restaurant loans | 69 of 821 |
| Rank of full-service restaurant among the classes in this area | 1 of 39 |
| Location quotient (share of loans against the national share) | 1.36x |
| Median loan against the national median for the class | 0.28x |
Cancellation and charge-off
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | 11.5% |
|---|---|
| The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling) | 11.5% |
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | withheld |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA full-service restaurant loans approved in the Syracuse, NY Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 13 | $1.6 million |
| FY2018 | 11 | $1.0 million |
| FY2019 | 6 | $1.2 million |
| FY2020 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2021 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2022 | 10 | $1.5 million |
| FY2023 | 6 | $812,000 |
| FY2024 | 8 | $1.2 million |
| FY2025 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2026 | withheld | withheld |
Most active SBA lenders
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company | 23 | $1.5 million |
| KeyBank National Association | 16 | $1.8 million |
| Solvay Bank | 5 | $1.0 million |
| NBT Bank, National Association | 5 | $966,300 |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
Where the loans are, by county
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| Onondaga County, NY | 59 |
| Madison County, NY | 8 |
| Oswego County, NY | 8 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MA-45060-C34.
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