Restaurant Feasibility Study in the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area
What SBA's own loan files show about full-service restaurant lending in the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
Baltimore: full-service restaurant
Baltimore approved full-service restaurant loans: 243 in FY2017 to FY2026, worth $126.6 million. Baltimore ranks 28 of 821 for the class on 243 loans among metro areas; in Baltimore, the class ranks 1 of 39. Baltimore's location quotient reads 0.93x on 243 loans: a lighter concentration. In Baltimore, ranks and the 0.93x quotient, from 243 loans, distinguish the class; Baltimore size is 0.91x the national median.
$250,000 marks the median of 243 loans, below the national figure (0.91x), and $77,500 to $554,500 bounds Baltimore's middle half. Of 243 loans in Baltimore, 231 used 7(a) and 12 used 504. 9.5% is the franchise share of 243 loans; the rest are independents.
Baltimore's 7(a) table, 103 loans at Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company, $21.4 million; 12 at Fulton Bank, National Association, $9.7 million; 10 at Newtek Bank, National Association, $4.1 million; 8 at Northeast Bank (ME), $1.5 million; 6 at Readycap Lending, LLC, $2.2 million. Baltimore: holders under 5 loans go unnamed. Baltimore county counts, 243 loans: Baltimore city, MD 86; Baltimore County, MD 45; Anne Arundel County, MD 43; Howard County, MD 41; Harford County, MD 21.
The Baltimore loans' fate
17.8% at minimum: Baltimore's cancelled share through FY2024. Baltimore's ceiling for undisbursed loans: withheld. Baltimore charge-offs: too few, not zero. Baltimore floors may rise with open loans. Baltimore approvals ran from 27 loans and $19.6 million in FY2017 to 36 loans and $28.3 million in FY2026, peaking at 36 in FY2026 and dipping to 7 in FY2021. Baltimore loans per year: FY2017 27, FY2018 25, FY2019 18, FY2020 15, FY2021 7, FY2022 20, FY2023 35, FY2024 27, FY2025 33, FY2026 36. Yearly dollars: FY2017 $19.6 million, FY2018 $8.5 million, FY2019 $5.4 million, FY2020 $7.1 million, FY2021 $7.3 million, FY2022 $8.9 million, FY2023 $16.1 million, FY2024 $15.3 million, FY2025 $10.1 million, FY2026 $28.3 million.
Baltimore: the study's tests
Baltimore's quotient, 0.93x: count rivals by cuisine. Across 243 loans, evening cover counts in Baltimore carries $250,000. Baltimore: facing slow months, debt service holds with $126.6 million approved. For 243 loans in Baltimore, ventilation costs outside $77,500 to $554,500 need cases. For 243 approvals in Baltimore, appraisers split concept from building. Baltimore approvals ran from 7 in FY2021 to 36 in FY2026; for Baltimore, plan for stalled years.
Baltimore's 243 loans are placed by project county. Baltimore follows the July 2023 delineation. Baltimore drops unplaceable counties from $126.6 million. Treat 243 loans as a guide to Baltimore, not a census.
SBA full-service restaurant loans in the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 243 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $126.6 million |
| Median loan | $250,000 |
| Middle half of loans, from | $77,500 |
| Middle half of loans, to | $554,500 |
| SBA 7(a) loans | 231 |
| SBA 504 loans | 12 |
| Franchise share of loans | 9.5% |
| Rank among metro and micro areas for full-service restaurant loans | 28 of 821 |
| Rank of full-service restaurant among the classes in this area | 1 of 39 |
| Location quotient (share of loans against the national share) | 0.93x |
| Median loan against the national median for the class | 0.91x |
Cancellation and charge-off
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | 17.8% |
|---|---|
| The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling) | withheld |
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | withheld |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA full-service restaurant loans approved in the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 27 | $19.6 million |
| FY2018 | 25 | $8.5 million |
| FY2019 | 18 | $5.4 million |
| FY2020 | 15 | $7.1 million |
| FY2021 | 7 | $7.3 million |
| FY2022 | 20 | $8.9 million |
| FY2023 | 35 | $16.1 million |
| FY2024 | 27 | $15.3 million |
| FY2025 | 33 | $10.1 million |
| FY2026 | 36 | $28.3 million |
Most active SBA lenders
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company | 103 | $21.4 million |
| Fulton Bank, National Association | 12 | $9.7 million |
| Newtek Bank, National Association | 10 | $4.1 million |
| Northeast Bank (ME) | 8 | $1.5 million |
| Readycap Lending, LLC | 6 | $2.2 million |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
Where the loans are, by county
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| Baltimore city, MD | 86 |
| Baltimore County, MD | 45 |
| Anne Arundel County, MD | 43 |
| Howard County, MD | 41 |
| Harford County, MD | 21 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MA-12580-C34.
Related feasibility study pages
- Full-service restaurant feasibility study and SBA loan data
- Feasibility Study Data for the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area
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- Feasibility study data and consultants for Maryland
- Feasibility Study Data by Metro Area
- Feasibility studies for SBA 7(a) and 504 loans
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