Child Care Center Feasibility Study in the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area
What SBA's own loan files show about child care center lending in the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
Baltimore: child care center
110 child care center loans, worth $104.3 million, were approved in Baltimore, FY2017 to FY2026. Among metro areas Baltimore stands 22 of 493 on 110 loans, and in Baltimore the class stands 6 of 39. Baltimore's quotient of 1.35x makes the class far more common. $460,500 tracks Baltimore's parents; ranks and the 1.35x quotient do the distinguishing.
$460,500 in Baltimore runs close to the national median (1.02x) across 110 loans. Half the loans in Baltimore fall between $115,250 and $1.1 million. The split is 100 under 7(a) and 10 under 504, the routes Baltimore peers took. Franchisees hold 45.5% of Baltimore's 110 loans.
Baltimore's 7(a) table, 23 loans with Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company, $7.6 million; 10 with TD Bank, National Association, $8.8 million; 8 with First National Bank of Pennsylvania, $7.0 million; 5 with Live Oak Banking Company, $11.7 million; 5 with Bank Five Nine, $1.5 million. Baltimore: holders under 5 loans stay unnamed. Baltimore by county, 110 loans: Baltimore County, MD 35; Anne Arundel County, MD 29; Howard County, MD 19; Baltimore city, MD 11; Harford County, MD 10.
How Baltimore loans fared
Of Baltimore's FY2017 to FY2024 approvals, at least 18.1% were cancelled after approval. Baltimore withholds the ceiling that counts undisbursed loans. Baltimore: charge-off floor withheld, not zero. Baltimore open loans can still raise floors. Baltimore's yearly count peaked at 24 loans and $30.7 million in FY2026; its low was 7 in FY2021; FY2026 shows 24 loans and $30.7 million. By year, Baltimore counts: FY2017 11, FY2018 10, FY2019 8, FY2020 10, FY2021 7, FY2022 9, FY2023 8, FY2024 9, FY2025 14, FY2026 24. Gross dollars by year: FY2017 $9.6 million, FY2018 $16.5 million, FY2019 $1.6 million, FY2020 $7.5 million, FY2021 $6.6 million, FY2022 $8.1 million, FY2023 $6.4 million, FY2024 $5.6 million, FY2025 $11.7 million, FY2026 $30.7 million.
Baltimore: what a study must test
Baltimore's quotient, 1.35x: count rivals by age group. Across 110 loans, licensed enrollment in Baltimore carries $460,500. Baltimore: facing slow enrollment, debt service holds with $104.3 million approved. For 110 loans in Baltimore, classroom costs outside $115,250 to $1.1 million need cases. For 110 approvals in Baltimore, appraisers weigh special purpose resale. Baltimore saw approvals run from 7 in FY2021 to 24 in FY2026; for Baltimore, plan for licensing delays.
Baltimore's 110 loans blend centers with family homes. Baltimore placed 110 loans by project county. Baltimore uses the July 2023 delineation by name. Baltimore omits loans from unmatched counties. These 110 loans guide a view of Baltimore; they are no census.
SBA child care center loans in the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 110 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $104.3 million |
| Median loan | $460,500 |
| Middle half of loans, from | $115,250 |
| Middle half of loans, to | $1.1 million |
| SBA 7(a) loans | 100 |
| SBA 504 loans | 10 |
| Franchise share of loans | 45.5% |
| Rank among metro and micro areas for child care center loans | 22 of 493 |
| Rank of child care center among the classes in this area | 6 of 39 |
| Location quotient (share of loans against the national share) | 1.35x |
| Median loan against the national median for the class | 1.02x |
Cancellation and charge-off
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | 18.1% |
|---|---|
| The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling) | withheld |
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | withheld |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA child care center loans approved in the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 11 | $9.6 million |
| FY2018 | 10 | $16.5 million |
| FY2019 | 8 | $1.6 million |
| FY2020 | 10 | $7.5 million |
| FY2021 | 7 | $6.6 million |
| FY2022 | 9 | $8.1 million |
| FY2023 | 8 | $6.4 million |
| FY2024 | 9 | $5.6 million |
| FY2025 | 14 | $11.7 million |
| FY2026 | 24 | $30.7 million |
Most active SBA lenders
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company | 23 | $7.6 million |
| TD Bank, National Association | 10 | $8.8 million |
| First National Bank of Pennsylvania | 8 | $7.0 million |
| Live Oak Banking Company | 5 | $11.7 million |
| Bank Five Nine | 5 | $1.5 million |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
Where the loans are, by county
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| Baltimore County, MD | 35 |
| Anne Arundel County, MD | 29 |
| Howard County, MD | 19 |
| Baltimore city, MD | 11 |
| Harford County, MD | 10 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
Family child care homes cannot be separated from centers.
Shared code: 624410 also holds in-home child care.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MA-12580-C36.
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