Liquor Store Feasibility Study in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area

What SBA's own loan files show about liquor store lending in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.

Liquor store loans in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler

Liquor stores are a minor class in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, 19 of 39 in the local ranking and 0.27x on the location quotient, yet their loans are large, at 1.67x the national median. Between FY2017 and FY2026, SBA approved 28 loans for liquor stores in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ, $23.9 million in all. Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ places 34 of 426 nationally for this class; the class is 19 of 39 locally. A 0.27x location quotient means the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler mix leans away from liquor stores, compared with the nationwide mix. Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler loan size runs high: $750,500 at the median, 1.67x the national median for liquor stores.

The middle half of Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler loans runs from $424,250 to $1.0 million. A project needing far more than $1.0 million would sit outside the usual Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler band. Loan Analytics withholds the program split for Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ; no 7(a) or 504 count shows. The Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler franchise share of loans is 0.00%. $750,500 is the median in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler. Half of loans land between $424,250 and $1.0 million. Branded or independent: the study must say. Program fit has to be shown, not assumed.

Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler: holders, places and years

Year by year, FY2019 shows 9 loans and $4.1 million. The rest are not printed. Small Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler counts explain the gaps. No gap is a zero. The printed years show no trend. Sponsors should know the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler record first. Local evidence completes the picture.

Testing a liquor store project in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler

Cancellation and charge-off rates: none for Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler liquor stores. The cohort is under Loan Analytics' floor. None is shown as zero. Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler is defined by the 2023 delineation. Loans reach an area via county. The comparison runs on names. Unmatched loans are dropped from every area. 28 approved loans carry $23.9 million in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler. No total replaces the project. A study for a liquor store in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler has to test licensing rules and timing; security and shrink; visibility and access at the site; households in the trade area; margin after labor and occupancy; sales needed to cover debt service; cooler and fixture cost set beside the $750,500 median loan; and value of license, real estate and business. The record implies no approval in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler. Context is all that the record gives. The study should keep apart what the building is worth and what the license and stock are worth, since a lender will care how each is supported.

SBA liquor store loans in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area

Loans approved, FY2017 to FY202628
Gross dollars approved$23.9 million
Median loan$750,500
Middle half of loans, from$424,250
Middle half of loans, to$1.0 million
SBA 7(a) loanswithheld
SBA 504 loanswithheld
Franchise share of loans0.00%
Rank among metro and micro areas for liquor store loans34 of 426
Rank of liquor store among the classes in this area19 of 39
Location quotient (share of loans against the national share)0.27x
Median loan against the national median for the class1.67x

Cancellation and charge-off

Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor)withheld
Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor)withheld

Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.

SBA liquor store loans approved in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area, by fiscal year

0246810FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Loans, FY2019: 9
Fiscal yearLoansDollars
FY2017withheldwithheld
FY2018withheldwithheld
FY20199$4.1 million
FY2020withheldwithheld
FY2021withheldwithheld
FY2022withheldwithheld
FY2023withheldwithheld
FY2024withheldwithheld
FY2025withheldwithheld
FY2026withheldwithheld

Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.

A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.

Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MA-38060-C37.

Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a liquor store project in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.

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