Worked Example: SBA 7(a) Hotel Feasibility Study in Arizona, a Closed Motor Inn Reopened as an Independent Lodge
A worked example of the feasibility study a lender would read for a hotel project in Arizona, financed with an SBA 7(a) loan.
What SBA's own loan files show about hotel and motel lending in the Tucson, AZ Metro Area, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
Two ranks place Tucson: 3 of 39 for hotel and motel on Tucson's own class list, and 52 of 807 for the area itself. The 37 approvals, worth $98.7 million, all sit in Pima County and were booked over FY2017 to FY2026. At 1.41x, Tucson puts a bigger slice of SBA lending into hotel and motel loans than the national mix does. The page flags no metric as distinctive, so these are descriptive figures.
In Tucson the middle hotel loan is $2.6 million, 1.18x the national figure, and half of all loans land between $1.3 million and $3.9 million. The 7(a) program accounts for 24 loans and 504 for 13, so the 504 route is a real second channel in Tucson. Franchise brands account for 70.3% of the loans, which means a borrower planning a flagged property should price brand standards into the project from the outset. All above describes SBA loans in Tucson; other funding for hotel and motel projects in Tucson sits outside these figures.
Within the 504 loans, SBA shows Arizona Capital Source holding 7, worth $11.2 million, and The Mortgage Capital Development Corporation holding 6, worth $15.0 million. The second name carries fewer loans but more dollars, so its loans run larger. The holder line is a fact about the Tucson loans, not a grade of lenders.
The page prints two years: FY2018 brings 6 loans and $15.2 million, and FY2021 brings 7 loans and $25.7 million. We withhold Tucson's two loss-side rates given that the Tucson FY2017-to-FY2021 pool holds under 30 loans, and in Tucson Loan Analytics' own method takes over. A withheld rate in Tucson does not mean none. Because every kind of hotel and motel sits under one code, a study should name the service level it tests.
A Tucson hotel plan starts with demand: occupancy and rate backed by evidence from the site's own market. Next come building and brand costs measured beside a loan within the Tucson band from $1.3 million to $3.9 million, then payment cover through a slow first stabilisation. An appraiser will price the hotel as a running business, so the forecast has to hold up. The federal county grouping defines Tucson, and loans from counties Tucson does not place are dropped from the totals.
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 37 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $98.7 million |
| Median loan | $2.6 million |
| Middle half of loans, from | $1.3 million |
| Middle half of loans, to | $3.9 million |
| SBA 7(a) loans | 24 |
| SBA 504 loans | 13 |
| Franchise share of loans | 70.3% |
| Rank among metro and micro areas for hotel and motel loans | 52 of 807 |
| Rank of hotel and motel among the classes in this area | 3 of 39 |
| Location quotient (share of loans against the national share) | 1.41x |
| Median loan against the national median for the class | 1.18x |
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | withheld |
|---|---|
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | withheld |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA hotel and motel loans approved in the Tucson, AZ Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2018 | 6 | $15.2 million |
| FY2019 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2020 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2021 | 7 | $25.7 million |
| FY2022 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2023 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2024 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2025 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2026 | withheld | withheld |
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Capital Source | 7 | $11.2 million |
| The Mortgage Capital Development Corporation | 6 | $15.0 million |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| Pima County, AZ | 37 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
One code for hotels and motels; limited service and full service cannot be separated.
Shared code: Hotels and motels share 721110.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MA-46060-C07.
A worked example of the feasibility study a lender would read for a hotel project in Arizona, financed with an SBA 7(a) loan.
Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a hotel and motel project in the Tucson, AZ Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.
Start with the data.
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