Child Care Center Feasibility Study in the Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA Metro Area

What SBA's own loan files show about child care center lending in the Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA Metro Area, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.

How Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro ranks for child care center

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA places 33 of 493 when metro and micro areas are ordered, on 70 SBA approvals worth $61.6 million across FY2017 to FY2026. Share of loans for child care center in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro comes to 0.74x the national share: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro tilts away from the class. Within Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro's own mix the class ranks 7 of 39, a leading line here. This Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro area crosses OR and WA, so loans cross state lines.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro loans center on $669,250, the median, and the middle half ranges $240,475 to $1.1 million. The median is 1.48x the class median nationally, so Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro borrowers take larger loans. 59 loans use SBA 7(a) and 11 run through SBA 504, a first question. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro borrowers use 504 for property and long-lived equipment. The franchised share of loans in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro is 17.1%, a read on branding. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro borrowers can read that as context.

Child care center lenders in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro

Among 7(a) loans in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, the largest holders listed are KeyBank National Association (8 loans, $4.7 million); Banc of California (7 loans, $8.5 million); U.S. Bank, National Association (6 loans, $3.4 million); Wells Fargo Bank National Association (5 loans, $6.4 million); and Columbia Bank (OR) (5 loans, $825,400). For SBA 504 in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, The Mortgage Capital Development Corporation (5 loans, $4.3 million). Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro rows are SBA records. The Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro lenders named hold or held them. The Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro table describes files, not practices. Nothing in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro shows what a lender will ask. Across Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro counties, Washington County, OR holds 25 loans; next come Multnomah County, OR with 23 and Clark County, WA with 10.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro's published years show 7 loans and $7.6 million in FY2019, 11 loans and $9.0 million in FY2020, 7 loans and $5.2 million in FY2021, 6 loans and $3.7 million in FY2022, 8 loans and $6.4 million in FY2023, 6 loans and $4.1 million in FY2024, 6 loans and $6.3 million in FY2025 and 9 loans and $11.8 million in FY2026. FY2017 and FY2018 do not appear because their counts are thin, so a gap in the series means withheld, nothing more. The FY2017 to FY2024 approvals recorded in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro fell through after approval, a floor of 16.4%. The ceiling, with undisbursed loans counted, is 16.4%. For Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, no charge-off floor is printed. A thin Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro cohort means unpublished. Every Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro figure follows the 2023 federal definition, so each Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro loan is placed by county, and Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro omits unmatched counties. The Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro record cannot divide family child care homes from centers, and these counts include both kinds of operator.

A child care center study for Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro: the tests

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro treats child care center figures as background; a study decides. The Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro file should document the licensing timeline before first tuition. For Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, we would first examine the path from opening to full enrollment. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro analysis should establish tuition levels against household incomes. In Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, a study has to test debt service coverage at partial enrollment. In Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, we start by examining licensed capacity, room by room. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro tests demand, cost, coverage and value. A Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro study guarantees nothing to lenders.

SBA child care center loans in the Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA Metro Area

Loans approved, FY2017 to FY202670
Gross dollars approved$61.6 million
Median loan$669,250
Middle half of loans, from$240,475
Middle half of loans, to$1.1 million
SBA 7(a) loans59
SBA 504 loans11
Franchise share of loans17.1%
Rank among metro and micro areas for child care center loans33 of 493
Rank of child care center among the classes in this area7 of 39
Location quotient (share of loans against the national share)0.74x
Median loan against the national median for the class1.48x

Cancellation and charge-off

Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor)16.4%
The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling)16.4%
Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor)withheld

Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.

SBA child care center loans approved in the Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA Metro Area, by fiscal year

02.557.51012.5FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Loans, FY2019: 7Loans, FY2020: 11Loans, FY2021: 7Loans, FY2022: 6Loans, FY2023: 8Loans, FY2024: 6Loans, FY2025: 6Loans, FY2026: 9
Fiscal yearLoansDollars
FY2017withheldwithheld
FY2018withheldwithheld
FY20197$7.6 million
FY202011$9.0 million
FY20217$5.2 million
FY20226$3.7 million
FY20238$6.4 million
FY20246$4.1 million
FY20256$6.3 million
FY20269$11.8 million

Most active SBA lenders

SBA 504: lenders by loans approved (the current holder of each loan, as SBA reports it)
LenderLoansDollars
The Mortgage Capital Development Corporation5$4.3 million
SBA 7(a): lenders by loans approved (the current holder of each loan, as SBA reports it)
LenderLoansDollars
KeyBank National Association8$4.7 million
Banc of California7$8.5 million
U.S. Bank, National Association6$3.4 million
Wells Fargo Bank National Association5$6.4 million
Columbia Bank (OR)5$825,400

Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.

Where the loans are, by county

CountyLoans
Washington County, OR25
Multnomah County, OR23
Clark County, WA10

Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.

Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.

Family child care homes cannot be separated from centers.

Shared code: 624410 also holds in-home child care.

A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.

Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MA-38900-C36.

Related feasibility study pages

Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a child care center project in the Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.

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