Quick Service Restaurant Feasibility Study in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area
What SBA's own loan files show about limited-service restaurant lending in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.
Limited-service restaurants hold second place among 39 asset classes in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area, a ranking that the area's all-class total cannot reveal. Behind it sit 37 loans and $17.4 million approved across FY2017 to FY2026. A 1.33x location quotient means counter-service food weighs more in Harrisburg-Carlisle lending than in the national book, yet the area is only 94 of 779 when metros are ranked on the class, so the weight is local rather than a matter of sheer volume.
Small tickets that track the national norm
A median loan of $306,000 comes out at 0.98x the national median, nearly level. Loans in the middle band start at $50,000 and stop at $655,000, so a plan that needs far more than that is asking for something outside the usual Harrisburg-Carlisle pattern. The franchise share is 56.8%: branded units are a slim majority, with a sizeable independent minority beside them. A study must say which path the restaurant takes, since royalties, build-out standards and fees change the cash left to service debt. Neither 7(a) nor 504 receives a count in this cell, since Loan Analytics holds both back.
Holders, county and years
Among 7(a) loans, Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company is shown as current holder of 9 loans worth $580,000, an average that suits the small tickets above. That is how SBA records the paper today; it is no verdict on the company's practices. Cumberland County, PA accounts for 21 of the 37 loans. Five years print: FY2017 with 6 loans and $2.4 million, FY2023 with 7 loans and $2.5 million, FY2024 with 0 loans and $0, FY2025 with 5 loans and $6.8 million, and FY2026 with 5 loans and $2.6 million. The other years are withheld, never shown as zero, while FY2026 stands as a full fiscal year in this data.
Testing a quick-service site here
Loan Analytics holds back the cancellation and charge-off rates for Harrisburg-Carlisle quick-service restaurants, since the cohort is thinner than 30 loans. A lender therefore has no loss floor for them. A study for a quick-service restaurant at a Harrisburg-Carlisle site should test passing traffic and visibility at the exact corner, queue space if a drive-through is planned, fit-out cost against a request likely to land below $655,000, and sales that clear food, labor and occupancy costs and still cover the debt. It should also give the appraiser a reasoned basis for the value of the real estate or the leasehold. Everything above looks backward at loans already made and forecasts nothing about a fresh request.
SBA limited-service restaurant loans in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area
| Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026 | 37 |
|---|---|
| Gross dollars approved | $17.4 million |
| Median loan | $306,000 |
| Middle half of loans, from | $50,000 |
| Middle half of loans, to | $655,000 |
| SBA 7(a) loans | withheld |
| SBA 504 loans | withheld |
| Franchise share of loans | 56.8% |
| Rank among metro and micro areas for limited-service restaurant loans | 94 of 779 |
| Rank of limited-service restaurant among the classes in this area | 2 of 39 |
| Location quotient (share of loans against the national share) | 1.33x |
| Median loan against the national median for the class | 0.98x |
Cancellation and charge-off
| Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor) | not reported: fewer than 30 loans in the cohort |
|---|---|
| Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor) | withheld |
Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.
SBA limited-service restaurant loans approved in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area, by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 6 | $2.4 million |
| FY2018 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2019 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2020 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2021 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2022 | withheld | withheld |
| FY2023 | 7 | $2.5 million |
| FY2024 | 0 | $0 |
| FY2025 | 5 | $6.8 million |
| FY2026 | 5 | $2.6 million |
Most active SBA lenders
| Lender | Loans | Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company | 9 | $580,000 |
Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.
Where the loans are, by county
| County | Loans |
|---|---|
| Cumberland County, PA | 21 |
Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.
Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.
A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MA-25420-C35.
Related feasibility study pages
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- Feasibility Study Data for the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area
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- SBA feasibility study company
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Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a limited-service restaurant project in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.
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