Quick Service Restaurant Feasibility Study in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area

What SBA's own loan files show about limited-service restaurant lending in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.

Limited-service restaurants hold second place among 39 asset classes in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area, a ranking that the area's all-class total cannot reveal. Behind it sit 37 loans and $17.4 million approved across FY2017 to FY2026. A 1.33x location quotient means counter-service food weighs more in Harrisburg-Carlisle lending than in the national book, yet the area is only 94 of 779 when metros are ranked on the class, so the weight is local rather than a matter of sheer volume.

Small tickets that track the national norm

A median loan of $306,000 comes out at 0.98x the national median, nearly level. Loans in the middle band start at $50,000 and stop at $655,000, so a plan that needs far more than that is asking for something outside the usual Harrisburg-Carlisle pattern. The franchise share is 56.8%: branded units are a slim majority, with a sizeable independent minority beside them. A study must say which path the restaurant takes, since royalties, build-out standards and fees change the cash left to service debt. Neither 7(a) nor 504 receives a count in this cell, since Loan Analytics holds both back.

Holders, county and years

Among 7(a) loans, Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company is shown as current holder of 9 loans worth $580,000, an average that suits the small tickets above. That is how SBA records the paper today; it is no verdict on the company's practices. Cumberland County, PA accounts for 21 of the 37 loans. Five years print: FY2017 with 6 loans and $2.4 million, FY2023 with 7 loans and $2.5 million, FY2024 with 0 loans and $0, FY2025 with 5 loans and $6.8 million, and FY2026 with 5 loans and $2.6 million. The other years are withheld, never shown as zero, while FY2026 stands as a full fiscal year in this data.

Testing a quick-service site here

Loan Analytics holds back the cancellation and charge-off rates for Harrisburg-Carlisle quick-service restaurants, since the cohort is thinner than 30 loans. A lender therefore has no loss floor for them. A study for a quick-service restaurant at a Harrisburg-Carlisle site should test passing traffic and visibility at the exact corner, queue space if a drive-through is planned, fit-out cost against a request likely to land below $655,000, and sales that clear food, labor and occupancy costs and still cover the debt. It should also give the appraiser a reasoned basis for the value of the real estate or the leasehold. Everything above looks backward at loans already made and forecasts nothing about a fresh request.

SBA limited-service restaurant loans in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area

Loans approved, FY2017 to FY202637
Gross dollars approved$17.4 million
Median loan$306,000
Middle half of loans, from$50,000
Middle half of loans, to$655,000
SBA 7(a) loanswithheld
SBA 504 loanswithheld
Franchise share of loans56.8%
Rank among metro and micro areas for limited-service restaurant loans94 of 779
Rank of limited-service restaurant among the classes in this area2 of 39
Location quotient (share of loans against the national share)1.33x
Median loan against the national median for the class0.98x

Cancellation and charge-off

Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor)not reported: fewer than 30 loans in the cohort
Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor)withheld

Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.

SBA limited-service restaurant loans approved in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area, by fiscal year

02468FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Loans, FY2017: 6Loans, FY2023: 7Loans, FY2024: 0Loans, FY2025: 5Loans, FY2026: 5
Fiscal yearLoansDollars
FY20176$2.4 million
FY2018withheldwithheld
FY2019withheldwithheld
FY2020withheldwithheld
FY2021withheldwithheld
FY2022withheldwithheld
FY20237$2.5 million
FY20240$0
FY20255$6.8 million
FY20265$2.6 million

Most active SBA lenders

SBA 7(a): lenders by loans approved (the current holder of each loan, as SBA reports it)
LenderLoansDollars
Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company9$580,000

Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.

Where the loans are, by county

CountyLoans
Cumberland County, PA21

Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.

Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.

A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.

Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MA-25420-C35.

Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a limited-service restaurant project in the Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.

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