A franchise-heavy, hotel-led record near a military base
Fayetteville, NC records 279 loans and $230.2 million from FY2017 to FY2026 and ranks 259 of 928. Nearly a third of the loans, 30.5%, carry a franchise brand, and the tracked classes are led by hotel and motel with 30 loans, followed by limited-service restaurant with 15, full-service restaurant with 13 and fitness center with 12. Gas station and truck stop shows 8, and automotive mechanical repair 6. A further 163 loans fall in no tracked class.
Loans run large, with a $356,500 median at 1.71x the national level and a central band from $149,250 to $969,050. Cumberland County, NC holds 257 loans and Hoke County, NC 22. Of the total, 268 are 7(a) and 11 are 504, so a project needing a real estate-type structure will find almost no local precedent. Hoke County's 22 loans are a small addition to Cumberland County's 257, so almost all of the precedent a study can cite lies in Cumberland County.
Dollars per loan among holders
SBA's holder field says who holds or held each loan and nothing about how it lends. By count, Northeast Bank (ME) is first with 19 loans for $2.4 million, followed by 18 loans, $4.4 million, at Wells Fargo Bank National Association; Live Oak Banking Company has 16 for $19.1 million and GBank 11 for $40.9 million. GBank's dollars per loan are the largest here by a wide margin. Readycap Lending, LLC also holds 11, worth $2.5 million.
Cancellation reached at least 10.3% of the approvals through FY2024, and the matching ceiling is held back by SBA. Of 108 funded loans, 7.4% show a charge-off to date, a floor on a small base, and the five-year rate is also held back. We estimate neither and call neither zero. FY2018 brought just 16 loans and FY2024 as many as 39, while FY2021 was the largest year in dollars at $41.9 million.
Testing a Fayetteville project
A study should ask whether demand rests on a base population that can shift and whether new lodging or food capacity would split a market that existing franchise units already serve. It must show coverage at the visible charge-off floor and justify value with an appraisal. Cumberland and Hoke are placed by the 2023 delineation. We write neutrally for borrowers and lenders alike.