Feasibility Study Data for the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area

What SBA's own loan files show about lending in the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area, every asset class together, and what a feasibility study for a project there has to test.

Durham-Chapel Hill at a glance

SBA approved 774 loans in Durham-Chapel Hill from FY2017 to FY2026, $545.5 million in gross dollars. 126 of 928 is the Durham-Chapel Hill place when areas are ordered by loans. Half the Durham-Chapel Hill loans are $332,000 or smaller. For Durham-Chapel Hill, the middle half lies at $100,000 to $847,625. The Durham-Chapel Hill median sits at 1.60x nationally. Durham-Chapel Hill splits into 716 loans under 7(a) and 58 under 504. Durham-Chapel Hill shows a franchise share of 20.0%. Durham-Chapel Hill dollars add to $545.5 million.

Durham-Chapel Hill: which classes and counties lead

Class by class, Durham-Chapel Hill shows full-service restaurant (54), limited-service restaurant (39), and fitness center (29) on top. Next in Durham-Chapel Hill comes coffee shop and snack bar at 21 loans. 481 loans in Durham-Chapel Hill fit no class, so Durham-Chapel Hill class patterns say less. SBA assigns Durham-Chapel Hill loans mostly to Durham County, NC (467), Orange County, NC (168), and Chatham County, NC (113). Person County, NC is the smallest listed Durham-Chapel Hill county, with 26 loans, so the area is uneven.

Durham-Chapel Hill: who holds the loans

These Durham-Chapel Hill tables show SBA's holders, not verdicts. Among Durham-Chapel Hill 7(a) holders: 68 loans at Wells Fargo Bank National Association ($10.9 million) and 38 loans at Northeast Bank (ME) ($5.8 million). Durham-Chapel Hill 504 holders include Business Expansion Funding Corporation with 41 loans ($29.2 million). For a Durham-Chapel Hill borrower, these rows give background only. No Durham-Chapel Hill row states a holder's terms.

Durham-Chapel Hill: floors, and what is withheld

Durham-Chapel Hill cancellation, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals: 14.1%. It is a floor for Durham-Chapel Hill. Treating undisbursed Durham-Chapel Hill loans as cancelled gives 15.3%, the ceiling. Charged off to date in Durham-Chapel Hill: 5.3%, a floor, across 303 disbursed loans of FY2017 to FY2021. The five-year rate is withheld for Durham-Chapel Hill: Durham-Chapel Hill loans are few. Treat Durham-Chapel Hill rates as floors. Later events lift them, Durham-Chapel Hill included. In Durham-Chapel Hill, a county name places each loan. Durham-Chapel Hill follows the July 2023 delineation. Durham-Chapel Hill omits loans with no county match. The Durham-Chapel Hill total includes loans outside the classes.

Durham-Chapel Hill: the feasibility questions

Durham-Chapel Hill approvals were thinnest in FY2022 (52 loans, $50.2 million) and heaviest in FY2024 (116 loans, $85.1 million). FY2017 opened the Durham-Chapel Hill series with 75 loans ($36.4 million). The latest year, FY2026, shows 69 loans and $58.9 million for Durham-Chapel Hill. A Durham-Chapel Hill feasibility study tests demand first, from Durham County, NC outward, not from the area average. Durham-Chapel Hill costs sit beside a $332,000 median. Durham-Chapel Hill stands at 1.60x nationally. A Durham-Chapel Hill study runs coverage on a slow ramp. Durham-Chapel Hill history of cancellations argues for it. Last for Durham-Chapel Hill: value must support cost, by appraisal. Absorption near Durham County, NC is tested for Durham-Chapel Hill on a slow case. The Durham-Chapel Hill study states its limits beside Durham County, NC findings.

SBA loans in the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area

Loans approved, FY2017 to FY2026774
Gross dollars approved$545.5 million
Median loan$332,000
Middle half of loans, from$100,000
Middle half of loans, to$847,625
SBA 7(a) loans716
SBA 504 loans58
Franchise share of loans20.0%
Rank among metro and micro areas by loans126 of 928
Median loan against the national median1.60x

Cancellation and charge-off

Cancelled after approval, FY2017 to FY2024 approvals (a floor)14.1%
The same, counting loans still undisbursed as cancelled (a ceiling)15.3%
Charged off to date, FY2017 to FY2021 disbursed loans (a floor)5.3%
Charged off within five years of approvalwithheld
Loans in that cohort303

Both rates are floors. SBA withholds the status of open loans, so a loan counts as charged off only once SBA reports it; a rate needs at least 30 loans in its cohort and is otherwise not reported.

SBA loans approved in the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area, by fiscal year

0255075100125FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Loans, FY2017: 75Loans, FY2018: 73Loans, FY2019: 72Loans, FY2020: 60Loans, FY2021: 71Loans, FY2022: 52Loans, FY2023: 71Loans, FY2024: 116Loans, FY2025: 115Loans, FY2026: 69
Fiscal yearLoansDollars
FY201775$36.4 million
FY201873$44.5 million
FY201972$41.6 million
FY202060$37.8 million
FY202171$59.6 million
FY202252$50.2 million
FY202371$45.8 million
FY2024116$85.1 million
FY2025115$85.5 million
FY202669$58.9 million

Loans by asset class

Asset classLoans
Not in any of the 39 asset classes481
Full-service restaurant54
Limited-service restaurant39
Fitness center29
Coffee shop and snack bar21
Hotel and motel19
Dental office17
Beverage manufacturing (breweries, wineries, distilleries)15
Child care center15
Beauty salon12
Automotive mechanical repair (car and truck)11
Veterinary clinic8
School (elementary and secondary, including charter)7
Gas station and truck stop6
Rehabilitation and therapy clinic6
Medical office (physicians)6
Assisted living (without nursing care)5

Classes with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are withheld, and more where a small one could be derived.

Most active SBA lenders

SBA 504: lenders by loans approved (the current holder of each loan, as SBA reports it)
LenderLoansDollars
Business Expansion Funding Corporation41$29.2 million
SBA 7(a): lenders by loans approved (the current holder of each loan, as SBA reports it)
LenderLoansDollars
Wells Fargo Bank National Association68$10.9 million
Live Oak Banking Company38$51.7 million
Northeast Bank (ME)38$5.8 million
TowneBank35$33.7 million
The Huntington National Bank35$13.4 million

Lenders with 5 or more loans here; a lender with fewer is not listed, and loans SBA or a receiver holds are counted but never listed as a lender.

Where the loans are, by county

CountyLoans
Durham County, NC467
Orange County, NC168
Chatham County, NC113
Person County, NC26

Counties with 5 or more loans; smaller ones are not listed.

Metro is the CBSA (metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area) of the loan's project county, July 2023 delineation (OMB Bulletin 23-01). The county is matched by name (manifests/ld2/county-cbsa-map.csv); a loan whose county cannot be placed in a 2023 CBSA is left out of every metro.

All assets: every 7(a) and 504 approval in the metro, including those outside the 39 asset classes.

A value marked withheld rests on fewer than 5 loans, or is withheld so that such a figure cannot be derived from other published figures.

Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 loan-level FOIA files (data.sba.gov), as of 2026-09-30; areas from the U.S. Census Bureau CBSA delineation, July 2023 (OMB Bulletin 23-01); Loan Analytics metro cell MT-20500.

Loan Analytics prepares the feasibility study a lender reads before it commits: for a commercial project in the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area, financed under SBA 7(a), SBA 504, USDA Business and Industry or a conventional bank loan. Tell us the project and the lender's deadline, and we reply with scope, timeline and fee.

Request Scope & Timeline

Start with the data.

Contact Us