Worked Example: SBA 7(a) Assisted Living Feasibility Study in Utah
A worked example of the feasibility study a lender would read for an assisted living project in Utah, financed with an SBA 7(a) loan.
Lenders approved 1,343 Corrected Utah SBA 7(a) loans worth $610.80 million in FY2025, along with 247 SBA 504 loans worth $303.1 million, a 504 share twice the national rate. The state has grown past 3.55 million residents inside an economy with 3.5 percent unemployment that has ranked first in ALEC’s Economic Outlook for nineteen straight years. Loan Analytics publishes the lending tables, county demographics and CRE market metrics behind numbers like these. We prepare independent feasibility studies for SBA 7(a), SBA 504 and USDA projects across Utah when lenders require the full report.
Utah lenders approved 1,343 Corrected SBA 7(a) loans worth $610.80 million in FY2025, up from 1,153 Corrected loans and $540.49 million Corrected the year before. The average 7(a) loan of about $457,000 ran slightly below the national figure. The standout is the 504 program. Utah borrowers took 247 504 loans worth $303.1 million in FY2025, and 504 accounts for 15.7 percent Corrected of the state’s SBA loans against 8.0 percent Corrected nationally. That is a clear signal of owner-occupied real estate demand along the Wasatch Front. Since fiscal 2010, Utah borrowers have closed SBA loans worth $9.47 billion Corrected. Accommodation and food services and health care lead by dollar volume, and construction leads by count.
The lending base is concentrated. Zions Bank, Mountain America Credit Union and Central Bank lead Utah 7(a) lending, and the top ten lenders made more than 60 percent of the state’s 7(a) loans between fiscal 2020 and 2025. About three in five Utah 7(a) loans move through lenders’ delegated Preferred Lender authority. On the 504 side, Mountain West Small Business Finance handled about three-quarters of the state’s projects, followed by Intermountain Business Lending. Salt Lake City leads all Utah cities in SBA volume, followed by Orem, Ogden, Sandy, St. George and Lehi.
The national picture has shifted. After a record FY2025, SBA approvals fell in FY2026 to 56,130 7(a) loans worth $32.4 billion and 6,075 504 loans worth $7.1 billion. Utah is following the same curve: its 7(a) count through June 2026 was pacing 25.4 percent Corrected below FY2025, while the average loan rose to about $505,000, meaning fewer, larger deals. SOP 50 10 8.1, effective 1 October 2026, tightens acquisition lending further. Outside the Wasatch Front, USDA Rural Development invested $164 million in Utah in fiscal 2026. That included a $25 million Business and Industry guarantee commitment for a copper mining project in Beaver County expected to create about 100 jobs. Fewer, larger and more closely scrutinized deals are precisely where independent market data and third-party feasibility studies earn their place in the file.
Utah SBA lending, at a glance:
Sources: SBA 7(a) and 504 loan-level data (FOIA), as tabulated by Precise SBA and SBA Loan Index; U.S. Small Business Administration; USDA Rural Development.
Where Utah Is Growing: County Demographics
Utah reached 3,551,150 residents as of July 2025, adding 44,351 people for a 1.3 percent gain, according to the Utah Population Committee and the Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. The Census Bureau’s own estimate is somewhat lower at 3,538,904, a 1.0 percent gain that still ranked fifth among the states. Utah County led all counties, adding 15,914 residents, roughly 36 percent of the state’s growth. Salt Lake County added 8,281, Washington County 4,751 and Tooele County 2,466. Tooele and Iron counties grew fastest in percentage terms at 3.0 percent each, while five small rural counties lost population. For the first time this decade, natural increase rather than net migration drove the majority of growth, 57 percent. That points to steady household formation rather than migration-driven spikes.
The longer arc matters as much as the single year. State projections carry Utah from about 3.6 million residents today to 5.6 million by 2065, while average household size falls from about 3.0 to 2.3. That combination means household counts, and housing demand, grow faster than population itself. The labor market supports it: Utah added 25,200 jobs in the year to September 2026, growth of 1.4 percent against 0.3 percent nationally, and unemployment stood at 3.5 percent against 4.2 percent nationally. For a feasibility study, these trajectories are the raw material of demand: trade-area population, household formation and absorption assumptions all stand or fall on county-level growth, and lenders increasingly test borrower projections against independent figures.
Utah county growth, July 2024 to July 2025:
Sources: Utah Population Committee and Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute; U.S. Census Bureau Vintage 2025; Utah Department of Workforce Services.
Utah Commercial Real Estate: The Five Major Markets
Industrial is the swing story, and it is past its peak. Salt Lake industrial vacancy topped out near 8.2 percent in late 2025. By the third quarter of 2026 it had eased to 7.6 percent including sublease space, according to Cushman & Wakefield, or 7.3 percent by CBRE’s measure. Net absorption was positive and asking rents rose to $0.85 per square foot monthly, up from $0.80 a year earlier. The market is really two markets. Small-bay buildings between 10,000 and 100,000 square feet are only 1.5 percent vacant and manufacturing space 2.3 percent, while warehouse and distribution space sits at 9.5 percent. About four million square feet remains under construction with only 15 percent preleased, which is exactly the distinction a lender wants tested. Multifamily is working through the end of a supply wave: Salt Lake completed 9,430 apartments in 2025, a decade high equal to 6.7 percent of its stock. Wasatch Front vacancy stands near 6.8 percent with rents up about 2 percent, and concessions are concentrated downtown.
The other three sectors complete the spread. Retail remains the tightest market in the state, with direct vacancy of 2.85 percent in Salt Lake County and 2.22 percent in Utah County, where more than 700,000 square feet of new retail is underway around Lehi. Office has turned a corner. CBRE reports eight straight quarters of positive absorption across Salt Lake and Utah counties, with 2026 absorption already above all of 2025, prime downtown vacancy at 6.5 percent, and no new office construction underway, although overall vacancy remains above 20 percent. Hospitality rests on record visitor spending of $13.7 billion in 2025, supporting 167,200 jobs. National park visits slipped 4.5 percent, so growth is coming from spending rather than visitor counts. That divergence between sectors is precisely the question a lender asks a feasibility study to resolve.
Utah commercial real estate, third quarter 2026:
Sources: Cushman & Wakefield, CBRE, Colliers, Northmarq and Yardi Matrix market reports; Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute and Utah Office of Tourism.
Construction Costs: Salt Lake City Against the National Index
Mortenson’s Construction Cost Index release for the third quarter of 2026 put Salt Lake City costs up 1.47 percent for the quarter and 7.87 percent year over year, the steepest annual increase of the eight metros Mortenson tracks, against 1.58 and 5.60 percent nationally. Salt Lake City has led the index for three straight releases, peaking at 9.75 percent year over year earlier in 2026, and Mortenson cites labor competition as a driver there more than in almost any other market. Construction employment in the Salt Lake area actually dipped in 2026 even as data center, grid and advanced-manufacturing work competed for the same electricians and steel. For a project budget, that differential is not an abstraction. Hard-cost assumptions flow straight into total project cost, loan sizing and the debt-service coverage a lender stress-tests. With escalation running two to four points above the national pace, a Wasatch Front budget assembled last year is already stale, and steel- and electrical-heavy scopes deserve extra contingency.
Construction costs, third quarter 2026 release:
Source: Mortenson Construction Cost Index.
What This Means for a Feasibility Study in Utah
Read the datasets together and the assignment becomes concrete. Strong 504 demand and fewer, larger SBA deals mean more Utah projects reach credit committees at dollar figures that draw closer review. Growth concentrated in Utah County and the Wasatch Front means a demand case that works in Provo can look different in Tooele or St. George. Five CRE sectors pointing in different directions, from a two-speed industrial market to a sub-3 percent retail market to a recovering office sector, mean asset selection, not the Utah label, drives the outcome. And the fastest construction inflation of any market Mortenson tracks means a budget assembled last year is already stale.
Water has moved from background to underwriting variable. Salt Lake City’s public utilities director told legislators in January 2026 that, under planning through 2060, the city does not “have excess water for growth.” The Great Salt Lake ended the 2025 water year at its third-lowest level on record. The 2026 legislature passed a law requiring large data centers to notify water providers of their projected demand, and reformed water leasing. For projects that need new water connections or significant supply, availability now belongs in the feasibility analysis alongside demand.
The state’s investment story sharpens all of it. The Gardner Institute measures Utah’s defense sector at $22.2 billion, 7.8 percent of state GDP, supporting more than 173,000 jobs, with Hill Air Force Base holding more than half the state’s federal defense jobs. Industry groups using a broader aerospace definition put the figure near a fifth of GDP. Technology’s full economic impact reached 18 percent of state GDP in Gardner’s analysis, and data center campuses continue to expand around Salt Lake. Each of those anchors reshapes trade-area demand, labor demand and absorption in the markets around it, and none of them shows up in a generic template.
Loan Analytics prepares independent feasibility studies for SBA 7(a), SBA 504 and USDA-financed projects across Utah, built on the same data published on this page and extended to the subject property. Each study covers trade-area demographics, competitive supply, demand and absorption, water and utility capacity where relevant, financial projections, and sensitivity testing organized around what credit committees actually review. The study arrives as a third-party document, written for the lender’s file. To scope one, use the form below or write to Info@analytics.loan. Include the property type, the county and the loan program, and we come back with scope and timeline.
Utah Feasibility Study FAQ
Start with the data.
Contact Us